The way to play the soccer marketplace is to open accounts with European bookmakers as the real difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is the best source of sure bets. Both of them have strong opinions on this sport. They’re going to price up the sport within their own country as well as the matches in foreign countries. Anything to make a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy than the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the sport. Everybody thinks they know best on this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This is very good news for us. The European bookmakers may be opinionated and where as they may well have greater detailed understanding of the comings and goings in their own countries they are relying on third parties to collate information on their own foreign counterparts.
One good starting place is in midweek games between teams of different nationalities. There’s a tendency in punters to get patriotic with regards to events where the opposition are ‘foreign’. The chances of the home team get talked up as well as the odds could get skewed within their favour as the burden of cash is overly wagered in their direction.
That being said the big bookmakers offer an early price, they’re going to often advertise it within the national papers and by and large stick to it. Consequently a bench mark has been set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or try and tempt money within their direction by offering different odds. If this were to happen the arb might be accessible for a substantial amount of time.
You’ll find always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick around the exact same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember they’re ‘guessing’ just what the odds should be just like you and me. They can be basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae nevertheless they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
Also they can get it wrong and other firms takes a totally different view of the outcome of a game. A totally different view will only contribute to a slight variation in the odds but this may be enough to give a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to start with the greater obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. Also they can have quite profitable discrepancies. They will be covered by a number of different bookmakers all over Europe. This does however add a complication. Although quite easy for finding arbs, the mere idea that you pay attention to these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you’ll be going to obtain spotted through the bookmakers if you concentrate your action here.
Also they are going to be reluctant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. Alternatively it really is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You will need to weigh up the positives and negatives of this strategy.
This really is a fairly obscure area of betting and if somebody was to check your account over a number of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your account it could ring alarm bells. The motto here is to dilute the bets by betting on as many various sort of sport and events as is possible in order that your accounts have varied bets on them. This shouldn’t be an issue as many different sports are great for sure bets.
The greater prominent European ties may also produce arbs and they are less more likely to attract focus on you as well as the maximum bets will be higher.
As before you decide to can not control regardless of if the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to one winning you can be useful on your account. The point here is the fact that not lots of people are captivated in the lower European divisions and it may become clear that the betting pattern is just a little unusual. This really is especially true if your bets towards the maximum permitted.
Injury news may be a lucrative area in soccer. Consider it. If a player fails a late fitness test on a Saturday and he is the teams star striker then this can substantially affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned up to play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the final minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I do not know. Though the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this and altered prices as the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This sort of last second frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair where you can act as the punter or perhaps the bookmaker (lay bets).
You may find injury news through one of the many soccer sites. Alternatively satellite television channels always have comprehensive news coverage of all of the games and also are quick to offer any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, although not all at the exact same time, just one by one so creating sure bets.
Within this scenario where prices are changing bet on the old price first. The new price will be the one that wont change the old price is the one that is going to and learn football so could possibly be lost if you’re not quick.